Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.7%
Hamburg
19.5%
Draw
17.8%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Hamburg
vs
1.30
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS67.4%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-0
4.9%
3-2
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
4.7%
4-0
3.6%
4-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).