Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
RB Leipzig
15.8%
Draw
13.9%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
2.98
RB Leipzig
vs
1.34
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS70.4%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.580.5%
Over 3.562.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-0
4.4%
4-2
3.9%
1-0
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).