Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.3%
Elche
18.4%
Draw
6.2%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Elche
vs
0.37
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS26.3%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.5%
2-0
18.7%
3-0
12.0%
0-0
10.0%
1-1
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
4-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
0-1
3.8%
5-0
2.2%
4-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).