Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.3%
Oxford City
27.4%
Draw
44.3%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Oxford City
vs
1.53
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).