Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Genk
21.8%
Draw
16.8%
Dender
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Genk
vs
0.99
Dender
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).