Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.1%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
24.4%
Draw
27.5%
Hertford Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
vs
1.11
Hertford Town
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).