Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Udinese
25.8%
Draw
35.7%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Udinese
vs
1.28
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).