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23 Sept 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.7%
Rochdale
24.2%
Draw
15.1%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Rochdale

vs
0.80

Solihull

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.4%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).