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DHT: 01CSV

10 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.7%
Northampton
24.8%
Draw
24.5%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Northampton

vs
0.89

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS43.9%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.0%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.0%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).