Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.8%
Ipswich
18.4%
Draw
9.8%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Ipswich
vs
0.76
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
1-0
10.0%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
5.6%
0-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
0-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).