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01 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.3%
Beerschot VA
24.9%
Draw
44.8%
Cercle Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Beerschot VA

vs
1.70

Cercle Brugge

Markets

BTTS61.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
5.7%
0-0
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).