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20 Apr 2025 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.4%
İstanbul Başakşehir
22.4%
Draw
14.2%
Gaziantep

Expected Goals (xG)

2.38

İstanbul Başakşehir

vs
1.11

Gaziantep

Markets

BTTS62.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
3-0
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-0
4.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).