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08 May 2026 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.0%
HamKam
21.0%
Draw
23.1%
Vålerenga

Expected Goals (xG)

2.06

HamKam

vs
1.26

Vålerenga

Markets

BTTS62.3%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.3%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).