Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
Granada
26.1%
Draw
14.2%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Granada
vs
0.56
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS33.2%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.3%
2-0
14.1%
0-0
12.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
4-0
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).