Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Toulouse
24.4%
Draw
34.9%
Strasbourg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Toulouse
vs
1.29
Strasbourg
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-0
6.1%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).