Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.2%
Ipswich
9.2%
Draw
3.6%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
2.81
Ipswich
vs
0.40
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS30.4%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.0%
3-0
15.0%
1-0
11.8%
4-0
10.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
5-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
1-1
4.1%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
0-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).