Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Morecambe
25.1%
Draw
47.7%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Morecambe
vs
1.47
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).