Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Union Berlin
25.0%
Draw
46.8%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Union Berlin
vs
1.75
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).