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19 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.0%
Peterhead
14.1%
Draw
73.8%
Airdrie Utd

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Peterhead

vs
3.21

Airdrie Utd

Markets

BTTS71.0%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.594.4%
Over 2.583.2%
Over 3.566.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-3
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
1-4
6.3%
0-3
5.9%
0-2
5.5%
2-3
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-1
4.8%
0-4
4.7%
2-4
4.2%
1-5
4.0%
0-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).