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AHT: 01

28 Oct 2024 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.5%
Krylya Sovetov
21.6%
Draw
63.9%
Krasnodar

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Krylya Sovetov

vs
2.17

Krasnodar

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.3%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
8.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
0-4
4.0%
1-4
3.9%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).