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06 Dec 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.4%
Cardiff
16.7%
Draw
15.9%
Huddersfield

Expected Goals (xG)

2.38

Cardiff

vs
1.05

Huddersfield

Markets

BTTS58.5%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
4.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).