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DHT: 10CSV

28 Jan 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.3%
Bradford
20.2%
Draw
15.5%
Cheltenham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.96

Bradford

vs
0.83

Cheltenham

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.5%
2-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).