Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Halifax
25.8%
Draw
21.7%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Halifax
vs
1.02
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).