Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.5%
Morecambe
25.0%
Draw
50.5%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Morecambe
vs
1.50
Crewe
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).