Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Empoli
26.4%
Draw
41.4%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Empoli
vs
1.60
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).