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26 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.0%
Bradford
25.6%
Draw
36.5%
Doncaster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Bradford

vs
1.26

Doncaster

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).