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DHT: 00CSV

06 Oct 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.0%
Raith Rvs
29.4%
Draw
38.6%
Arbroath

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Raith Rvs

vs
1.26

Arbroath

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).