Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.1%
Colchester
22.5%
Draw
21.4%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Colchester
vs
0.98
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).