Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.2%
Elche
24.9%
Draw
16.9%
Extremadura UD
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Elche
vs
0.72
Extremadura UD
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
2.6%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).