⚽ FootballData
0 – 1
AHT: 00CSV

06 Dec 2024 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
26.5%
Martigues
22.3%
Draw
51.1%
Guingamp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Martigues

vs
1.68

Guingamp

Markets

BTTS54.2%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.0%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).