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17 Apr 2021 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.2%
Pordenone
23.8%
Draw
60.0%
Frosinone

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Pordenone

vs
1.91

Frosinone

Markets

BTTS51.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
0-2
11.0%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
1-0
4.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).