Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Le Mans
25.9%
Draw
22.3%
Grenoble
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Le Mans
vs
0.78
Grenoble
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).