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22 Mar 2026 · 16:15

Metz

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.7%
Rennes
12.0%
Draw
9.3%
Metz

Expected Goals (xG)

3.10

Rennes

vs
1.02

Metz

Markets

BTTS60.8%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.577.9%
Over 3.559.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
4-1
6.4%
4-0
6.2%
1-0
5.3%
1-1
4.8%
3-2
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
5-1
4.0%
5-0
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).