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AHT: 01CSV

18 Aug 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.5%
Kidderminster
20.2%
Draw
71.3%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.57

Kidderminster

vs
2.04

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS38.4%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
15.3%
0-1
14.3%
0-3
10.4%
1-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.1%
1-3
5.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-0
3.5%
1-4
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
2-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).