Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Crewe
22.7%
Draw
48.6%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Crewe
vs
1.62
Oxford
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.2%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).