Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.5%
FC Koln
20.3%
Draw
16.2%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
FC Koln
vs
1.09
Mainz
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-0
9.0%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
3-0
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
4-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).