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DHT: 10CSV

28 Apr 2019

Huesca

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.8%
Villarreal
20.7%
Draw
14.5%
Huesca

Expected Goals (xG)

2.08

Villarreal

vs
0.87

Huesca

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
4.3%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).