Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.2%
Celta
24.6%
Draw
17.2%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Celta
vs
0.81
Eibar
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).