Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.7%
Leeds
20.1%
Draw
9.2%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Leeds
vs
0.63
Swansea
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.5%
1-0
13.1%
3-0
10.0%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).