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HHT: 20CSV

04 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.9%
Levante
29.5%
Draw
36.6%
Vallecano

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Levante

vs
1.14

Vallecano

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
11.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).