Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Oxford
21.6%
Draw
22.8%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Oxford
vs
1.02
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).