Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Alanyaspor
32.0%
Draw
23.6%
Gaziantep
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Alanyaspor
vs
1.06
Gaziantep
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.4%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).