Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Fulham
27.2%
Draw
35.9%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Fulham
vs
1.51
Brentford
Markets
BTTS62.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).