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21 Dec 2023 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.5%
Ankaragucu
28.8%
Draw
26.8%
Hatayspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Ankaragucu

vs
1.34

Hatayspor

Markets

BTTS63.6%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
0-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).