Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.0%
Watford
28.9%
Draw
37.2%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Watford
vs
1.30
Norwich
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
9.2%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).