Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.4%
Hertha
28.6%
Draw
33.9%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Hertha
vs
1.22
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).