Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Grimsby
21.3%
Draw
17.4%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Grimsby
vs
0.87
Newport County
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).