Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.0%
Empoli
25.7%
Draw
47.3%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Empoli
vs
1.48
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).