Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.0%
Alfreton Town
16.9%
Draw
80.1%
Spennymoor Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.18
Alfreton Town
vs
1.90
Spennymoor Town
Markets
BTTS13.8%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
23.9%
0-2
22.6%
0-3
14.3%
0-0
12.4%
0-4
6.8%
1-1
4.1%
1-2
4.0%
0-5
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
1-0
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).