Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.6%
Middlesbrough
26.8%
Draw
41.5%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Middlesbrough
vs
1.53
Fulham
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).